
STOCKREPORTS |
Microsoft Corporation |
Nasdaq Symbol MSFT In S&P 500 |
15-AUG-98 |
Industry: Computer (Software & Services) |
Summary: Microsoft, the world's largest software company, develops and markets PC software, including the Windows operating system and Office application suite. |
 |
Recent Price 104.25 52 Wk Range 119.63 - 59.00 |
Yield Nil 12-Mo. P/E 62.4 |
Quantitative Evaluation:
Outlook
(1 Lowest - 5 Highest)
3-
Fair Value
119.00
Risk
LOW
Earn/Div Rank
B+
|
 |
|
Technical Evaluation:
BULLISH
since 02/96
Rel. Strength Rank
(1 Lowest - 99 Highest)
88
Insider Activity
UnFavorable
|
Overview 22-JUL-98
Revenue growth should slow somewhat in FY 99 (Jun.), after a 28% rise in FY 98, reflecting few major product releases. However, growth will remain solid, with continued strength in operating systems, desktop applications, and enterprise software. Windows 98 was launched in late June 1998, and appears to be off to a strong start. The company's Office suite of applications, which includes Word and Excel, is the dominant force in the business application market; the next version will be released in 1999. Enterprise software products, including Windows NT, are expected to continue to gain momentum. Margins are expected to remain steady, with continued high R&D spending and a less favorable product mix offset by well controlled expenses. Results in the first quarter of FY 98 included a charge of $0.22 a share for the acquisition of WebTV Networks, Inc.
Valuation 22-JUL-98
The shares are up sharply thus far in 1998, despite expectations of slower revenue growth in FY 99. Near-term earnings drivers include strength of Windows 98, Office 97 and Windows NT. However, nearly $3 billion spent on R&D in FY 98 will lead to several new products over the next few years, including Windows NT 5.0 (still about a year away), Office 2000 (to be launched in 1999), and SQL Server 7.0 (the company's database software) and Start.com (an Internet portal site), which will be introduced later this year. While the cloud of the antitrust case still lingers over MSFT, and remains a concern, we do not expect it to have a material impact on the company's business. The shares deserve a premium market valuation, in light of MSFT's strong competitive position and future growth prospects. We recommend accumulating the shares for the long term.
Key Stock Statistics
S&P EPS Est. 1999 | 2.14 |
P/E on S&P Est. 1999 | 48.7 |
Dividend Rate/Share | Nil |
Shs. outstg. (M) | 2464.1 |
Avg. daily vol. (M) | 15.971 |
|
Tang. Bk. Value/Share |
5.58 |
Beta |
1.26 |
Shareholders |
53,400 |
Market cap. (B) |
$256.9 |
Inst. holdings |
34% |
|
Value of $10,000 invested 5 years ago:$ 97,686
Fiscal Year Ending Jun. 30
Revenue (Million $) |
|
1998 |
1997 |
1996 |
1995 |
1994 |
1993 |
Q1 |
3,130 |
2,295 |
2,016 |
1,247 |
983.0 |
818.0 |
Q2 |
3,585 |
2,680 |
2,195 |
1,482 |
1,129 |
938.0 |
Q3 |
3,774 |
3,208 |
2,205 |
1,587 |
1,244 |
958.0 |
Q4 |
3,995 |
3,175 |
2,255 |
1,621 |
1,293 |
1,039 |
Year |
14,484 |
11,358 |
8,671 |
5,937 |
4,649 |
3,753 |
|
Earnings Per Share ($) |
|
1998 |
1997 |
1996 |
1995 |
1994 |
1993 |
Q1 |
0.25 |
0.24 |
0.20 |
0.13 |
0.10 |
0.09 |
Q2 |
0.42 |
0.28 |
0.23 |
0.15 |
0.12 |
0.10 |
Q3 |
0.50 |
0.40 |
0.22 |
0.16 |
0.10 |
0.10 |
Q4 |
0.50 |
0.40 |
0.22 |
0.14 |
0.15 |
0.11 |
Year |
1.67 |
1.31 |
0.85 |
0.58 |
0.47 |
0.39 |
|
Dividend Data |
Amount ($) |
Date Decl. |
Ex-Div. Date |
Stock of Record |
Payment Date |
2-for-1 |
Jan. 26 |
Feb. 23 |
Feb. 06 |
Feb. 20 '98 |
|
Business Summary 22-JUL-98
This dominant player in the PC software market, which rose to prominence on the popularity of its operating systems software, now rules the business applications software market, and has its sights set on becoming the leading provider of software and services for the Internet. By virtue of its size, market positioning and financial strength, Microsoft (MSFT) is a formidable competitor in any market that it targets. Earnings have grown rapidly over the past several years, aided by a strong PC market in general, new product introductions, and market share gains. MSFT is best known for its operating systems software programs, which run about 90% of the PCs currently in use. Its original DOS operating system gave way to Windows, a graphical user interface program run in conjunction with DOS, which made using a PC easier. Windows 98, MSFT's newest version of its flagship PC operating system, with sales closely tied to PC shipments, was introduced on June 25, 1998. Its predecessor, Windows 95, has an installed base of more than 100 million users. Windows NT, a network operating system providing network management and administration tools, security and operating stability, now has an installed base of more than seven million users, and continues to grow rapidly.
MSFT entered the business applications market in the early 1990s through a line-up of strong offerings combined with aggressive and innovative marketing and sales techniques. Its Office 97 suite, which includes the popular Word (word processing), Excel (spreadsheet) and PowerPoint (graphics) software programs, is now by far the number one selling application software package. The company is also devoting resources and forming alliances to offer interactive media, including children's titles, games and information products. Microsoft owns 50% of Dreamworks Interactive, MSNBC Cable, and MSNBC Interactive News. The company also recently acquired WebTV Networks, and made investments in Comcast and Apple Computer.
MSFT has rapidly repositioned itself as a major provider of software and services for the Internet. Its Explorer browser is challenging Netscape's Navigator, the market leader. In addition, MSFT's server and development tools for the Internet are being well received.
The company continues to spend heavily on research and development. Some $2.2 billion (about 20% of revenues) was spent in FY 97 (Jun.), of which about $400 million was targeted directly at the Internet. An additional $2.9 billion was spent in FY 98.
Powerful distribution channels, including strong relationships with original equipment manufacturers (OEMs, the makers of PCs), relationships with resellers, as well as guaranteed shelf space in retail stores, all give MSFT an advantage over smaller, less well established rivals.
Per Share Data ($) |
|
1998 |
1997 |
1996 |
1995 |
1994 |
1993 |
1992 |
1991 |
1990 |
1989 |
Tangible Bk. Val. |
NA |
4.07 |
2.89 |
2.27 |
1.92 |
1.44 |
0.99 |
0.64 |
0.44 |
0.28 |
Cash Flow |
NA |
1.52 |
1.04 |
0.69 |
0.57 |
0.45 |
0.34 |
0.24 |
0.15 |
0.10 |
Earnings |
1.67 |
1.31 |
0.86 |
0.58 |
0.47 |
0.39 |
0.30 |
0.21 |
0.13 |
0.08 |
Dividends |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
Payout Ratio |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
Prices - High |
119 5/8 |
75 3/8 |
43 1/8 |
27 3/8 |
16 1/4 |
12 1/4 |
11 7/8 |
9 3/8 |
4 1/2 |
2 1/2 |
- Low |
62 1/4 |
40 3/8 |
20 |
14 5/8 |
9 3/4 |
8 3/4 |
8 1/4 |
4 1/8 |
2 5/16 |
1 1/4 |
P/E Ratio - High |
72 |
57 |
50 |
47 |
35 |
31 |
39 |
45 |
35 |
29 |
- Low |
37 |
31 |
23 |
25 |
21 |
22 |
27 |
20 |
18 |
15 |
|
Income Statement Analysis (Million $) |
|
1998 |
1997 |
1996 |
1995 |
1994 |
1993 |
1992 |
1991 |
1990 |
1989 |
Revs. |
NA |
11,358 |
8,671 |
5,937 |
4,649 |
3,753 |
2,759 |
1,843 |
1,183 |
804 |
Oper. Inc. |
NA |
5,687 |
3,558 |
2,307 |
1,963 |
1,464 |
1,097 |
714 |
434 |
260 |
Depr. |
NA |
557 |
480 |
269 |
237 |
138 |
101 |
67.0 |
46.0 |
25.0 |
Int. Exp. |
NA |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
2.0 |
1.0 |
2.0 |
4.5 |
3.6 |
2.3 |
Pretax Inc. |
NA |
5,314 |
3,379 |
2,167 |
1,722 |
1,401 |
1,041 |
671 |
411 |
251 |
Eff. Tax Rate |
NA |
35% |
35% |
33% |
33% |
32% |
32% |
31% |
32% |
32% |
Net Inc. |
NA |
3,439 |
2,195 |
1,453 |
1,146 |
953 |
708 |
463 |
279 |
171 |
|
Balance Sheet & Other Fin. Data (Million $) |
|
1998 |
1997 |
1996 |
1995 |
1994 |
1993 |
1992 |
1991 |
1990 |
1989 |
Cash |
NA |
8,966 |
6,940 |
4,750 |
3,614 |
2,290 |
1,345 |
686 |
449 |
301 |
Curr. Assets |
NA |
10,373 |
7,839 |
5,620 |
4,312 |
2,850 |
1,770 |
1,029 |
720 |
469 |
Total Assets |
NA |
14,387 |
10,093 |
7,210 |
5,363 |
3,805 |
2,640 |
1,644 |
1,105 |
721 |
Curr. Liab. |
NA |
3,610 |
2,425 |
1,347 |
913 |
563 |
447 |
293 |
187 |
159 |
LT Debt |
NA |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
Common Eqty. |
Nil |
9,797 |
6,908 |
5,333 |
4,450 |
3,242 |
2,193 |
1,351 |
919 |
562 |
Total Cap. |
NA |
10,777 |
7,033 |
5,458 |
4,450 |
3,242 |
2,193 |
1,351 |
919 |
562 |
Cap. Exp. |
NA |
499 |
494 |
495 |
278 |
239 |
318 |
275 |
159 |
92.0 |
Cash Flow |
NA |
3,996 |
2,675 |
1,722 |
1,383 |
1,091 |
809 |
530 |
326 |
196 |
|
|
|
1998 |
1997 |
1996 |
1995 |
1994 |
1993 |
1992 |
1991 |
1990 |
1989 |
Curr. Ratio |
NA |
2.9 |
3.2 |
4.2 |
4.7 |
5.1 |
4.0 |
3.5 |
3.9 |
3.0 |
% LT Debt of Cap. |
NA |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
Nil |
% Net Inc.of Revs. |
Nil |
30.3 |
25.3 |
24.5 |
24.7 |
25.4 |
25.7 |
25.1 |
23.6 |
21.2 |
% Ret. on Assets |
NA |
28.2 |
25.4 |
23.1 |
25.0 |
29.1 |
32.5 |
33.4 |
30.1 |
27.9 |
% Ret. on Equity |
NA |
41.2 |
35.9 |
29.7 |
29.8 |
34.6 |
39.3 |
40.4 |
37.1 |
36.1 |
Data as orig. reptd.; bef. results of disc. opers. and/or spec. items. Per share data adj. for stk. divs. as of ex-div. date. Bold denotes diluted EPS (FASB 128). E-Estimated. NA-Not Available. NM-Not Meaningful. NR-Not Ranked.
Office--One Microsoft Way, Redmond, WA 98052-6399.
Tel--(206) 882-8080.
Website--http://www.microsoft.com
Chrmn & CEO--W. H. Gates III.
Pres--S. Ballmer.
EVP & COO--R. J. Herbold.
VP-Fin & CFO--G. B. Maffei.
Secy--W. H. Neukom.
Investor Contact--Carla Lewis (425-936-3703).
Dirs--P. G. Allen, J. E. Barad, W. H. Gates III, R. Hackborn, D. F. Marquardt, R. D. O'Brien, W. G. Reed Jr., J. A. Shirley.
Transfer Agent--ChaseMellon Shareholder Services, Ridgefield Park, NJ.
Incorporated--in Washington in 1981; reincorporated in Delaware in 1986.
Empl-- 22,232.
S&P Analyst: Brian Goodstadt

This report is for information purposes and should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Neither S&P nor any other party guarantee its accuracy or make warranties regarding results from its usage. Redistribution is prohibited without written permission. Copyright © 1998